Leadership

Analysis Of Degree Classifications Over Time: Changes In Graduate Attainment

Universities in England are giving too many students top degree grades, according to this report by the Office for Students (OfS). The report shows starkly that there has been significant and unexplained grade inflation since 2010-11. Even accounting for prior attainment and student demographics, it still finds significant unexplained grade inflation.

The report shows the number of graduates being awarded first and upper-second class degrees rose from 67% in 2010-11 to 78% in 2016-17. 

The OfS report is based on 1,638,490 students who graduated from 148 universities in England between 2010-11 and 2016-17. 

The analysis found that: 

  • the percentage of graduates awarded first and upper-second class degrees rose from 67% in 2010-11 to 78% in 2016-17 
  • the percentage of first-class degrees rose from 16% to 27% in the same time frame 

It says that in 2016-17, a total of 77 universities in England showed a statistically significant unexplained increase in first-class degree awards - this was in relation to both other universities and to their own level of firsts given in 2010-11. 

The OfS report found that 14 institutions had an unexplained rise of above 20% in firsts and upper-seconds. 

At the University of Surrey the proportion of firsts has more than doubled, from 23% in 2010/11 to 50% in 2016/17, while at Bradford University it has almost tripled, from 10.6% to 30.9%. Coventry University has seen a rise of 24.4%. 

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